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Rate Cuts?

Home Sales
Dear Friends,

From the high plains of Jackson Hole, where the wind runs free and the peaks cast long shadows over the land, came a voice this week — calm, measured, and full of the weight that only time and responsibility can give a man. It was Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, speaking not just to economists, but to all of us whose lives are shaped by the ebb and flow of the economy — farmers, builders, teachers, real estate professionals, dreamers. He hinted at a shift, subtle but powerful, like the turning of a season: a possible interest rate cut in September.

This is not the easy kind of news — not the roaring announcement of boom times — but something gentler, something more human. Powell spoke of balance, of a labor market finding its footing again after a long and weary climb. The truth, he said, is mixed: inflation still lingers like heat at the end of summer, but jobs are growing scarcer, and people are hesitating before stepping forward. “The balance of risks appears to be shifting,” he said, and in his tone there was a kind of hope — a recognition that change might be necessary, and soon.

For the housing market — long burdened by high interest rates and uncertain futures — this news might be the first good wind in some time. Since March of 2022, the rise in rates has kept many buyers on the sidelines, watching and waiting. Mortgage rates climbed, purchasing power shrank, and dreams were deferred. But now, with rates softening and inflation beginning to bend, a new chapter may be close at hand.

Though mortgage rates are not directly set by the Fed, they often follow its lead. And many believe that even the whisper of a rate cut could stir the embers. Already, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has steadied at 6.58%, the lowest point of the year. Freddie Mac says it hasn’t moved in a week — and yet, even that stillness feels full of possibility.

Hope is not just found in lower rates. There are signs of life all around. The number of homes for sale has surged — up 26% compared to this time last year — bringing the nation’s total to over 1.4 million. It’s the most generous monthly supply we’ve seen since 2017, and with more choices, buyers may begin to feel less like wanderers and more like settlers. Home prices rose modestly, 2.1% over last July, but that growth is softening, and with it comes greater affordability.
 
Should rates fall, and confidence rise, we may see more families stepping back into the market, not just to buy houses, but to build futures — solid, grounded, and bright.

Yes, the road ahead still bends and dips. Inflation, labor, uncertainty — these are real. But in Powell’s words, and in the numbers behind them, there is also promise: a chance for the housing market to find its rhythm again, for workers to find purpose, and for Americans everywhere to find steadiness beneath their feet.

Let us watch, wait, and prepare — for perhaps, soon, the time to move forward will come.  Call us to make your move.  Frank (310) 503-4158, Anna (310) 780-0148.

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